Every new technology goes through an adoption cycle (a.k.a., hype cycle) — a huge burst of marketing fluff about new disruptive technology that will rock your world. The cycle goes like this:
- new technology is introduced to market (often immature and over-promised)
- a few early adopters deploy it
- within 12 to 18 months it loses its cache, and the press, analysts and, of course, the vendors get fixated on another shiny new toy
- months (or even years) later, the early bugs are worked out and more sophisticated and meaningful features are added
- mainstream adoption is in full force
The latest hype cycle: Convergence, which comes in three delicious flavors: Data Center Transformation; Voice and Video for collaboration services over the same network as Data; and WAN optimization to support remote access to centralized and virtualized application.
To short-circuit further hype, a few industries notables are getting together on a June 29 webcast to make this all very concrete and grounded in reality